England's World Cup 2010 Qualifying Schedule

The England national team's fixture list for World Cup 2010 qualifying has just been released, and I think it sets up pretty nicely for new manager Fabio Capello. The meeting to hash out the exact details of the schedule took a reported eight hours in Zagreb, Croatia.

It’ll be important for the Three Lions to start and end qualifying on a high note and they have a good chance to do just as they’ll visit minnows Andorra to get the ball rolling and host relative lightweight Belarus to end the campaign.

September 6, 2008: @ Andorra
September 10, 2008: @ Croatia
October 11, 2008: Kazakhstan
October 15, 2008: @ Belarus
April 1, 2009: Ukraine
June 6, 2009: @ Kazakhstan
June 10, 2009: Andorra
September 9, 2009: Croatia
October 10, 2009: @ Ukraine
October 14, 2009: Belarus

Upon Further Review...

So, as I promised earlier, I've done some research on the other countries in England's World Cup qualifying group and even though qualifying is months away, I wanted to come out with a guide/primer/preview of sorts of England's competition in Group 6 while the topic was still fresh in people's minds:

1. Belarus---Currently coached by former East Germany boss Bernd Stange, the Belorussians are captained and led by their most recognizable player, Arsenal midfielder Aliaksandr Hleb. Belarus has only had a national team since 1992 (before that, their players and those in the other Soviet republics played for the USSR). They haven't participated in any World Cups as of yet; they finished 6th in their qualifying group in 1998 and 5th in 2006; in 2002 they finished 3rd and missed heading to South Korea/Japan by just two points. Belarus have also not qualified for any European Championships in their brief history either. In their most recent squad announced for these last two games of Euro 2008 qualifying, only two players currently play for domestic teams outside of Russia, Belarus, and Ukraine (Hleb-Arsenal, Vitali Kutuzov-Pisa Calcio in Serie B).

2. Croatia---England fans know all about the Croatian national team and have probably seen more of them than they ever wanted to over these past few days after Croatia ended England's hopes of qualifying for Euro 2008. Once again, this team is relatively new on the international landscape as Croatia only gained independence from Yugoslavia in 1991 and their national team wasn't officially recognnized by FIFA and UEFA until 1992. They are coached by a former West Ham and Everton player, Slaven Bilić, who is just 39 years of age and was part of Croatia's third place team in World Cup 1998. He's fluent in German, Italian, and English and is a hot prospect to manage a high-level club in Europe sooner rather than later. Croatia has a roster full of extremely underrated but talented players, most notably (at least to Premiership fans) Niko Kranjčar, Eduardo da Silva, and Australian-born Josip Šimunić. They haven't lost a competitive match on home soil since 1994 and have participated in every World Cup that they've qualified for since becoming independent.

3. Andorra---Andorra are also new on the world stage as their national team hasn't been in existence for even 10 years. There really isn't much to say about this team; they've never qualified for a World Cup or European Championship, their highest ever FIFA world ranking is #125 in September 2005, and their current home stadium seats only 1,800 people. Andorra has only won three games in their brief history; their top goalscorer, Ildefons Lima, has four career tallies at the international level, and the team received more total yellow and red cards than any other team in Europe in World Cup 2006 qualification.

4. Ukraine---Aside from Croatia, Ukraine will be England's most serious threat to either win Group 6 or qualify for the second place-playoff. Ukraine, just like all the former Soviet republics, has only been in existence as an independent country with a national team since 1992. They've qualified for only one World Cup, the most recent one in 2006 (they were knocked out in the Quarterfinals by Italy, the eventual champions). Ukraine's first appearance in the European Championship will be in 2012 as they will cohost the event with Poland and thus automatically qualify; they didn't qualify in 1996, 2000, 2004, or for the next one in 2008. Chelsea striker Andriy Shevchenko has the most career international goals for Ukraine (36 in 79 matches), and although they may benefit from the services of 33-year old midfielder and former Tottenham and West Ham player Serhiy Rebrov for some of the qualifying games, he almost certainly won't be around for the whole campaign.

5. Kazakhstan--Ah yes, another former member of the USSR. Kazakhstan actually competed in the AFC (Asian Federation) until 2002 when they joined UEFA, although they didn't win their first competitive match as part of UEFA until 2007, when they beat Serbia at home. Kazakhstan have never qualified for a World Cup, European Championship, or Asian Nations Cup and their most recent squad has only two players who play their club soccer outside of their home country (both play in Russia). Interestingly enough, they are coached by a Dutchman, Arno Pijpers, and he has experience in Kazakhstan having won the Kazakhstan Super League title in 2006 with FC Astana. Pijpers' career record with Kazakhstan is respectable (5-7-7), and those 5 wins put him in a tie for second place in most wins with the former Soviet republic.

Will England Qualify for Euro 2008?

I've already touched on this issue in previous posts (see "Russia-2, England-1...Is Anyone Really Surprised?" and "Euro 2008--England's Prospects"), but as the most crucial international break this year is now upon us, I thought I'd go over it for the last time and give all the permutations that need to happen.

I, personally, do not think the Three Lions will go to Austria-Switzerland next June for Europe's highest international competition as anything but spectators or tourists. Injuries, suspensions, poor results, and most importantly, poor man management have really put a significant dent into this team throughout all of qualifying. Now England have put themselves behind the 8-ball and in a position where their destiny isn't even in their own hands. It's blasphemic for most England fans to hear, but Scotland have a better chance to qualify as they have the ability to write their own ticket; they need to beat Italy (at home) and they're in, simple as that.

Here is the "lowdown" on England's hopes to qualify, taken straight from the BBC:

"England's qualification is out of their hands. Their best hope of qualification is to finish ahead of Russia. But if the Russians win in Israel on Saturday, they will be one point ahead of England with one match to play - and that match is away to rock-bottom Andorra. England will not expect any favours from Andorra, who are on a run of 28 consecutive Euro qualifying defeats.

If Russia lose in Israel, then England need only to draw (or win) against Croatia in their final match at Wembley to guarantee qualification. If Russia draw in Israel, then England will need to beat Croatia in their final match to go through, given that a Russia win against Andorra is all but certain.

There is one other glimmer of hope for England. If Croatia lose in Macedonia, then an England win over the Croats by a three-goal margin will put them above their rivals. A 2-0 win would also be enough, but a two-goal margin in which England have conceded a goal (eg 3-1) will not be enough - as Croatia's away goal will mean they lead the head-to-head standings between the teams. Of course, should Russia have dropped points against Israel then any win over Croatia will suffice."

Now, in basic terms:

1. England are eliminated if they lose to Croatia at home on November 21.
2. England probably will not qualify if they tie with Croatia because Russia will most likely get a point in Israel on the 17th (who will be without Yossi Benayoun) and will certainly take full points in Andorra on the 21st.
3. If Russia lose in Israel, England just needs to get a result (either a win or tie) against Croatia to qualify.

I guarantee you that Croatia won't lose in Macedonia (barring a major miracle), and it's just about as certain that England won't beat Croatia by a three-goal margin or 2-0, so that third paragraph probably won't come into play.

In short, England need help to qualify and I don't see them getting it. Russia should get a result in Israel (as I said, they're without Benayoun) and have the advantage of playing against a team that is already eliminated and has nothing to play for other than pride. I like Russia to park the bus and at the least, get a tie in Israel but a win would wrap it up for them, seeing as they'll beat Andorra on the 21st (Andorra have lost 28 Euro qualifiers in a row).

Steve McLaren, you better be scouring the classifieds as you'll be without a job come December.