Monday, May 26, 2008

Euro 2008 Preview--Group A (Part 2)

After taking a little break to watch some afternoon baseball, I'm back with the second part of my Group A preview.

Switzerland:

Coming off their unexpected progression to the Round of 16 in World Cup 2006, where they were the only team to not concede a goal during regulation, Switzerland has fairly high hopes in this edition of the European Championship. Boosting those hopes, of course, is the fact they are a co-host of this tournament along with Austria, and we've seen in recent international competitions that the host country is almost a surefire lock to make it out of the first round.

Switzerland's competition in Group A complicates that notion; behind Group C, this year's "Group of Death", Group A is the trickiest to navigate. Köbi Kuhn's team hasn't played a competitive game since losing in PK's to Ukraine in the last World Cup; as a co-host, they had an automatic berth in this tournament and thus didn't participate in qualifying.

Kuhn announced a 26-man provisional squad on May 13, and from its breakdown by position, I would guess that he'll trim it down to the required 23 by dropping two defenders and a midfielder, although there are injury worries in both areas. Going by age alone would indicate that this a young team, but that's not the complete truth. This is a very experienced group of players and will use their success in Germany two years ago to their advantage.

For me, it all starts with the ageless one, Pascal Zuberbühler, in net, although Diego Benaglio has gained considerable momentum in Kuhn's eyes and could very well be first choice on June 7.

The back line is insecure at the moment. Philippe Senderos will anchor the defense, that is for certain, but there are question marks surrounding the health of Ludovic Magnin, the first-choice left back, the soon-to-be Liverpool player Philipp Degen, the starting right back, and Patrick Müller, Senderos' fellow central defender. If all three are fit, all three will start, but if not, Johan Djourou, Senderos' teammate at Arsenal, will take Müller's place, Stephan Lichtsteiner will play on the right, and you could see Stéphane Grichting or Valon Behrami on the left.

The midfield also has some concerns. Tranquillo Barnetta is a fixture on the right, but he took a knock recently in training and missed Switzerland's 2-0 friendly victory over Slovakia two days ago. If he recovers in time, which appears likely, he could be joined in the midfield by Manchester City's Gelson Fernandes, who would occupy a central role behind the creative Hakan Yakin. There are two candidates for the left wing, Valon Behrami and Daniel Gygax, but Behrami is more naturally a right-sided player who is capable of playing either left back or left midfield if necessary.

The captain, Alexander Frei, will lead the front line if he's fully fit after an injury-plagued season at Borussia Dortmund. Frei needs just two more goals to become Switzerland's all-time leading goal-scorer with 35 after scoring in that game against Slovakia, and you know he'll be hungry to do that in front of his countrymen in the crowd. Alongside Frei, you could see Marco Streller (first option, but health issues remain) or Johan Vonlanthen, who has been effective off the bench in his international career.

As you can see, there are a lot of "ifs" and concerns surrounding this team. If everything is resolved, and all signs right now point to that being the case, Switzerland will be very dangerous in front of their home crowd and could repeat their success from World Cup 2006. By avoiding group favorite Portugal until the third match, the Swiss should be able to pick up the points they need in the two previous fixtures and put themselves in a position where their destiny is in their own hands in that final game.

Turkey:

I won't lie -- I know very little about Turkish soccer aside from watching Galatasaray, Beşiktaş, and Fenerbahçe in European club competitions. The national team finished seven points behind group champion Greece and a point ahead of Norway to make it to Euro 2008 out of the weakest qualifying group.

With all of that said and my ignorance aside, it would be foolish to underestimate a nation that made it to the quarterfinals in Euro 2000 and won the third-place game in World Cup 2002. Rüştü Reçber, the goalkeeper on that World Cup team, could be back between the sticks again and has piled up 128 caps in his career. An outstanding goalkeeper or one who just gets hot at the right time can carry a team in any competition, and on that basis alone, Turkey can't immediately be counted out.

Defense appears to be the weak link on this team; the leading cap-winner amongst that group on the 27-man provisional squad announced by coach Fatih Terim is center back Emre Aşık, who is 34 years old but has appeared only 26 times for his country.

There are some recognizable, talented names in the midfield and up front. Belözoğlu Emre is the nation's captain and a stalwart in the center, where his creative abilities have helped land him in Serie A at Inter Milan and now Newcastle. He is one of the most decorated, accomplished Turkish players ever (although granted, Turkish soccer has only recently come to the forefront).

Yıldıray Baştürk, who was born in Germany and has played his entire domestic career in Germany, is another vital contributor to the Turkish midfield. Also born and bred in Germany is Hamit Altıntop, a spectacular ball-striker who can score from long range and rack up assists. He's carved out a very nice career in the Bundesliga and is at Bayern Munich now. A broken metatarsal suffered on March 27 has Altintop's availability for Euro 2008 in question, but as of this preview today, I couldn't find any articles or reports declaring him out of the squad.

Mehmet Aurélio is the other well-known player in Turkey's midfield, and he is more defensively-minded than the previous three, though he does score his share of goals. Aurélio is Fenerbahçe's captain and was the first naturalized player to appear for Turkey when he played in a friendly at the age of 29, as he was born in Brazil and didn't go to Turkey until five years prior.

Middlesbrough's Tuncay Sanli will spearhead the forward line with either Gökdeniz Karadeniz or Nihat Kahveci right there with him.

Turkey has the most difficult schedule in the group, with their first game coming against Portugal and the second (and pivotal) game against Switzerland. They'll finish up against the Czech Republic, likely needing a victory in that game to have a chance at advancing to the quarterfinals.

Group A Final Prediction (teams in bold advance):

1. Portugal --7 points
2. Switzerland -- 5 points
3. Czech Republic -- 4 points
4. Turkey -- 0 points

Check back tomorrow for my full preview (which will be more brief, I promise) of Group B, made up of Austria, Croatia, Germany, and Poland.

Euro 2008 Preview--Group A (Part 1)

First of all, I want to wish all of my fellow countrymen here in the States a wonderful Memorial Day. Almost everyone I know has or had a family member in the armed forces, and today is all about remembering those who died while in military service to their country. We know it as the unofficial first day of summer when swimming pools traditionally open and families have a nice barbecue, but today is really more than that and I hope everyone takes a moment to reflect upon what this day truly means.

Now, onto the meat of this post -- previewing Group A in Euro 2008, which will start in just under two weeks' time. This group is comprised of Switzerland, the tournament co-host, Turkey, Portugal, and the Czech Republic.

Here's the fixture schedule (all times Eastern):

June 7:
Switzerland vs. Czech Republic (Noon; St. Jakob-Park, Basel)
Portugal vs. Turkey (2:45; Stade de Genève, Geneva)

June 11:
Czech Republic vs. Portugal (Noon; Stade de Genève, Geneva)
Switzerland vs. Turkey (2:45; St. Jakob-Park, Basel)

June 15:
Switzerland vs. Portugal (2:45; St. Jakob-Park, Basel)
Turkey vs. Czech Republic (2:45; Stade de Genève, Geneva)

Czech Republic:

In a qualifying group that included Germany and Ireland, the Czech Republic finished first with 29 points from their 12 games. This is their sixth appearance in the European Championships, although three of them came as the former Czechoslovakia, including the 1976 team that won the whole thing.

Their U-21's won the European U-21 Championship in 2002, and you can find a fair amount of players from that team on the senior team that will open up against Switzerland on June 7, including Petr Čech and Milan Baroš. It's always an unpleasant assignment to play your first game and the first game of the tournament against a host country, and you can bet the Swiss crowd will be in full roar in Basel.

Tomáš Rosický, known as the "Little Mozart" for his creative skill, fantastic passing ability, and the way he orchestrates play out of the center of midfield, will miss the tournament due to injury and that's a major blow for his country. He is their captain and field general and there just isn't anyone who will be able to replace him.

Coach Karel Brückner has named a 23-man provisional squad already, which of course is the number his final roster will have to have as well. If he chooses not to replace anyone, he'll have a team that seems to be pretty solid through the starting XI but without much on the bench.

Čech, one of the world's best at his position, will of course be in goal, in front of him could very well be an experienced back line of Grygera, Rozenhal, Ujfaluši, and Jankulovski (R to L), a midfield comprised of Galásek in the holding role, Jarolím on the right, possibly Skácel or Matějovský on the left, and Plašil right in the center. Up top will be the two stalwarts -- the big target man, Jan Koller, and his quicker sidekick, Baroš.

Portugal:

Big Phil's team finished second in an ultra-competitive qualifying group, as Poland nipped them by just one point. Under Scolari, Portugal lost in the final of Euro 2004 to Greece and lost to France in the semifinals of World Cup 2006. They will be looking to shake off those disappointments and win this competition, one in which they are favored to make a deep run.

Portugal's final squad has already been released and squad numbers have been announced, so barring injury, there will be no changes and what you see is what you'll get. This is a country not known in recent years to produce true center forwards; instead, an emphasis has been placed on pace, creativity, and wing play. In this group, those attributes should be enough to overcome the three either older or slower teams (who also simply have less talent), but that may not be the case come the knockout rounds.

Scolari is known as a unique character, one who tends to take the pressure off his team through his own personal antics and behavior, and I think that will really benefit his side in this tournament. It's a team that has 4-5-1/4-3-3 written all over it, with Ricardo in goal, either Bosingwa or Miguel at right back, Ferreira on the left, where he has played before, and Meira and Carvalho in the center. In the midfield, Deco will roam freely in the center, Cristiano Ronaldo and Simão will be on the wings, Petit seems likely to play in the holding role, and either João Moutinho or Raul Meireles, both terrific passers, will also be in the middle. As the lone center forward, Nuno Gomes will feature with Hélder Postiga spelling him.

Portugal’s schedule also sets up as arguably the most comfortable of any team in the group. While it is no slouch, Turkey has to be considered the weakest team out of the four and Portugal plays them first, followed by the Czech Republic. After those two games, they’ll know exactly what they need (if anything at all) in their third and final match, against Switzerland. That game seems to me like Portugal’s toughest, as not only do the Swiss have the home-field advantage, they are very difficult to break down and that is Portugal’s strength, quick passing and dribbling.

Check back later this afternoon for Part 2 of my Group A preview, in which I'll take a look at Turkey and Switzerland and give you my prediction for how the group will finish up.