From the Predictable to the Unpredictable

On Friday, I posted about how "Grand Slam Sunday" was never likely to live up to the hype, and that there were some other fixtures that had the potential to be lively, fast-paced, and exciting.

Through one half of the "Battle of the Big Four", it's been exactly as anticipated. Manchester United eked out a goal from Carlos Tevez to beat Liverpool 1-0 at Anfield and move to the top of the table pending Arsenal's date with Chelsea later today. The Liverpool-United game was clearly full of passion from the players, but it was an incredibly dull affair. Liverpool had two clear chances in the span of three minutes in the first half but other than that, were completely bottled up by United's back four. United, for their part, really didn't threaten at all during the 90 minutes and it took a set piece for the Red Devils to score (Rooney and Tevez combined for the goal; haven't I been saying for some time now that they are the best strike duo in Europe??).

We'll see what happens with this Chelsea-Arsenal game but with key players missing from both sides, I'm not expecting much. Chelsea play some of the most sleep-inducing soccer known to man anyway and they'll be without their best goalscorer, Didier Drogba, and Arsenal may not have the services of midfield playmaker Cesc Fabregas, who won't be 100% even if he does play.

I did say that there would be games yesterday that would be much more exciting than the ones we'd see today, and I was right. The games I picked out, however (Derby-Boro, Portsmouth-Spurs, and West Ham-Everton), didn't exactly deliver for me. It was the Wigan-Blackburn game that proved to be yesterday's best, with two players, Marcus Bent for Wigan and Roque Santa Cruz for Blackburn, racking up a hat trick for their respective sides. Wigan won the game 5-3 and even that is a bit misleading as Marcus Bent didn't score Wigan's 5th goal, the one that put Blackburn away, until the 81st minute.

For as much as I criticize the Premier League for its predictability, its games like these that keep me coming back for more. I love attacking, free-flowing soccer and games between teams that have so much more to gain than they have to lose, like the four teams (and two boring games; one for sure so far, the other likely) we'll see today. The Premiership is the most entertaining league in the world; you can argue all you like about the level of soccer and the players' technical ability, whatever, all of that may be higher in other leagues. This league has the best value for money and is the most exciting, and there shouldn't be any debate about that.

Al Bangura Should Stay in England

For those of you who haven't heard, a very interesting (and possibly life-threatening) situation is brewing across the pond right now, one that has crossed the line between soccer and politics and has snowballed over the past few days.

Al Bangura, a 19-year old midfielder who currently is under contract to Championship side Watford FC, is being faced with deportation back to his native Sierra Leone. Bangura fled his country when he was 15 with his country amidst civil war. His father had died and it was the custom of the Poro Secret Society, a voodoo cult in Sierra Leone which he led, that Al, short for Alhassan, was to replace his father in the cult when the time came.

Instead of joining the PSS, who Bangura said threatened to kill him if he didn't join and take part in tribal rituals, including mutilation, he fled to Guinea. There, he met a Frenchman who wanted to sell him into the homosexual prostitution business (Africa is known for human trafficking) and took him to France. From France, he took Bangura to the UK where Bangura escaped again and approached the Home Office to seek asylum, which was granted.

Now that Bangura is over 18 and legally an adult, however, that asylum status has changed, according to Britain's Home Office. The Home Office is essentially the UK's department of internal affairs and ruled in mid-November that Bangura would be deported back to Sierra Leone, pending a hearing at which Bangura could plead his case to remain in the UK. That hearing took place on Tuesday and its outcome did not go in Bangura's favor. A UK Asylum and Immigration Tribunal decided that Bangura was exaggerating the risk to his life if he was forced to return to Sierra Leone, and thus the Home Office will now start the process of removing him from the country.

Bangura had 10 days from Tuesday to appeal this decision and his manager at Watford, Aidy Boothroyd, has already said they would be doing so. Many notable figures in England, including Elton John, have come out in support of Bangura and now the Home Secretary, Jacqui Smith, will get involved. FIFpro, the world representative organization for professional soccer players, is backing Bangura, as is the English Professional Footballers' Association.

Bangura has a fiancee and a son who is not even a month old, and if he was to be deported he would leave them both behind. He paid over $240,000 last year in taxes and has been a law-abiding, tax-paying resident while he's been in England. He's never played for Sierra Leone on the international level so it's not possible for him to get a work permit, so this appeal will likely be his last chance to stay in England and to survive. Watford are using their contacts for whatever possible help they can get and I'm sure they are not alone in the soccer fraternity that is the Football League and the Premier League.

The "should he stay or should he go" debate is a tough one, because there are those who take a hardline on immigration and resident visas and permits and whatever else for security reasons and at a time where the threat of terrorism is always prevalent, I understand their reasoning for doing so. They don't look at cases on an individual basis and they tend to just go by the book; that is, if a person has a legitimate reason and purpose for staying, he can stay, if not, he has to leave. There are those who look at it on a case-by-case basis and apply common sense and rationale to the situation. As Stephane Burchkalter, the general secretary for FIFpro's African division, said, "Football must play its part as an engine of integration and we back their appeal. We expect the government to favour the spirit of the law."

To me, the Home Office and this Asylum and Immigration Tribunal are guilty of the same thing many bureaucracies fall to these days: Red-tape. Bangura has a young family, he's paid his taxes and followed the laws while he's been in England, he fled civil war in a country and region that is really struggling economically. They are almost dehumanizing Bangura and just viewing him as another ritualistic decision they have to make, a simple "Yes or "No" when in actual fact, it is not that black and white; there's so much gray in between. It's ridiculous to deny him a work permit on the basis that he doesn't play for Sierra Leone's national team because he doesn't want to go back to Sierra Leone! He obviously is "working" by playing for Watford (53 league appearances since 2005), he contributes to the economy, and he's supporting a young family. It's easy for those white-collar government officials or whoever sits on these Asylum and Immigration tribunals to make a decision about whether to send a person back to their native country; they have their cushy, upper-class lifestyle and safe existence in Britain, but that person may be going back to his or her death in the country from which they came.

He has said that "I am just praying every night that the Home Secretary will review this and allow me to stay because, inside of me, I know I'm supposed to be here. I would love to be a citizen here. If I was given the chance to be British, I would take it with both hands". There are plenty of people in England who would love to leave their country, I'm sure. England is full of some of the most miserable, unpleasant people in the world and for Bangura to actually WANT to be there, to LOVE becoming a citizen there and not get the chance to would be a disgrace.

The public support and outcry is really growing and I wouldn't be surprised if Bangura wins his appeal and is allowed to remain in England. It never should have gotten this far though; there was no real reason other than a technical, nitpicky rule to even start this process in the first place. That's the sad thing about governments these days, they are more concerned about following procedure and going by the book instead of caring about the people who put them there.

Please, go to http://www.thepetitionsite.com/1/save-al-bangura to "sign" the online petition to help this cause and sway the people who hear Bangura's appeal. The folks there have a goal of 5,000 signatures and as of my typing this post, 4,098 people have signed and it's looking like that goal will be reached.

I hope Al Bangura is allowed to stay in England. Anything else would be a travesty of justice.

"Grand Slam Sunday"?--Yeah, right!

The nonstop hype machine that is the media has been relentlessly shoving this Sunday's games between Arsenal-Chelsea and Liverpool-Manchester United down our throats for a week now, if not longer, and although I understand that they're just doing their job and catchy labels like "Grand Slam Sunday" are what sell newspapers and magazines and whatever else, I'm sick of it.

Here's the actual reality: Whenever "Big Four" teams play against each other, there's all kinds of pomp and buildup but the games themselves usually fail to deliver. They are often incredibly dull, and more times than not end up in draws, or maybe one team pushes across a scrappy, ugly goal to get the victory. Players and managers are afraid to get beaten and allow one of their fellow title challengers to take all three points, so they don't take many risks. Instead of playing to win, they play it close to the vest and the matches are not aesthetically pleasing, to say the least.

It's usually the games you wouldn't have expected that turn out to be the most exciting, games that feature relatively mid-to-low table sides. The potential for gain and reward far outweighs what they could lose so you usually see a more aggressive, attacking, up-and-down game. Last year just six points separated 11th place Aston Villa from 7th place Bolton, and only two points divided 7th and 9th place Portsmouth. There's nothing wrong with 9th or 11th, but 7th means the UEFA Cup and there's an added financial bonus there as well as the prospect of European competition. Teams will often scratch and claw for that and when four or five teams are in the running for one or two spots like they were last year, that's when you see exciting games because those teams need results; they can't afford to share the points.

Listen, I'll be watching these games this Sunday just like I know the rest of you probably will. I also know that I'm not likely to see a beautiful display of soccer; the term "Joga Bonito" doesn't apply to games like these. I believe both the Arsenal-Chelsea game and Liverpool-United match will end up 1-1. Honestly, I can't even watch Chelsea when they're playing weaker opponents like Derby or Sunderland, so I really am not expecting too much from the Blues-Gunners affair. Liverpool are coming off a big win over Marseille on Tuesday, they have momentum and confidence on their side, and they're at home. Manchester United are the better team overall though and when you add all those factors together, you get a draw.

There are some gems in the rough that I'm looking forward to on Saturday. Believe it or not, I think the Derby-Middlesbrough game is huge and both teams could desperately use the three points because they're each a candidate for relegation, Derby obviously more so. A draw won't do either of them much good and their talent level is relatively equal, so look for that game to be pretty free-flowing. You would have to believe the Portsmouth-Tottenham game will be a goalfest, maybe 3-2 or 4-3. West Ham is starting to get healthy again and they host Everton for the second time this week (Everton won 2-1 at Upton Park in their Carling Cup quarterfinal tie); I think that will be an exciting game as well.

Tune into those two games on Sunday, sure, but if you want to see 90 minutes' worth of action and fast pace, check out those Saturday games I mentioned as well. Don't believe the "Grand Slam Sunday" hype. "Stupor Sunday" will probably be a more fitting description.

Michigan Hits the Century Mark; Defeats Oakland (MI)

Led by 24 points and eight rebounds from freshman guard Manny Harris and 22 points from DeShawn Sims, the Michigan Wolverines shot their way to victory over Oakland (MI) last night, winning 103-87 to improve to 4-6 on the season.

Much like Michigan did against a more athletic, more talented Duke team last weekend, the Grizzlies put up a valiant fight for about the first 10 minutes of the game against the bigger, faster, and stronger Wolverines. Also just like Michigan in that blowout loss to Duke, however, Oakland simply couldn't keep pace and with 8 minutes left in the first half, they trailed 32-25, then 44-27 with just over 5 minutes remaining.

Oakland wanted to play to their strengths and set a fast, breakneck tempo, score a lot of points, and play enough defense to try and sneak out of Crisler Arena with a win. The problem was that Michigan plays the exact same way but with a much more aggressive defense, and when you're facing the more athletic players that Michigan has and the deeper bench that the Wolverines possess, you just can't run with Michigan for 40 minutes, just like Michigan couldn't against the talent that Duke can put on the floor.

As I said before, that's not to say Oakland didn't give their best effort. Derick Nelson is a stud at small forward and could be playing for any Big Ten school in my opinion. Nelson had 31 points for the Grizzlies last night and really just had his way with anyone whom Michigan tried to put out there and defend him. Erik Kangas has Big Ten ability as well in terms of shooting the basketball from distance and he scored 24 points, 15 of which came via the trifecta. With Oral Roberts likely to be down this season, look for Oakland and IUPUI to really battle for the Summit League's (former Mid-Continent Conference) NCAA Tournament bid.

Two key stats in this win for Michigan: 58% FG percentage compared to 42% for Oakland, and 31 points off the bench to just 11 for the Grizzlies.

Next up for the Wolverines is another home game against a fellow state school, as the Central Michigan Chippewas will come into Ann Arbor this Saturday (2:00 PM, BTN) and try and get a win for the MAC.

Champions League or Domestic League?

This is an interesting debate in my opinion, one which you can go back and forth on for hours depending on which club you support and what league that team is in. I'm very interested to hear how you all stand on this question, so if you wouldn't mind when you're done reading this, leave a comment identifying which team you follow and your reasoning for why you'd rather them win the Champions League or their domestic league. I'm sure everyone wants their team to win both, obviously, but go on the premise that they can only win one.

Sometimes circumstance and situation dictates which of the two a club will pursue the most. Take, for example, AC Milan. The Rossoneri are in 10th place right now in Serie A, 19 points behind their rivals and league leader, Inter. AC Milan aren't going to win the league this year and will probably have to make a deep run in the Champions League not only to save face with their fans but to save manager Carlo Ancelotti's job. When it's clear that a team doesn't realistically have a chance to win their domestic league, they don't have any other choice but to put all of their eggs in the Champions League basket. French club Olympique Marseille was forced to do that as well as they're in 13th place in Ligue 1, but their plans were thwarted yesterday by Liverpool and they'll have to settle for the parachute into the UEFA Cup.

Speaking of Liverpool, I asked my brother (a huge Liverpool supporter) what he'd rather see the Reds win, the Champions League or the Premier League. Curiously enough, he said the Champions League even though they just won it in 2004-2005 and were in the final last season. Liverpool hasn't won the Premiership since it came into its modern existence in 1992, and the last time they won the league was the '89-'90 season. Manager Rafa Benitez stated that his team's goal was to win the league this year, but it sure didn't seem that way when he subbed key players out and essentially conceded their match last weekend at Reading, a 3-1 loss.

Manchester United and Sir Alex Ferguson, on the other hand, probably want to win the Champions League this season as they just won the Premiership last year, and if they were forced to pick just one to win this year, it would be the CL. United are on such good form, however, that they could very well end up winning both, a double that has been done most recently by Barcelona in '05-'06 and Porto in '03-'04.

Another factor to consider is the prestige and money involved in a certain country's domestic league. It would be significantly better financially for a French team or a Portuguese team to go deep in the Champions League than it would be to finish in the top three or four in their respective domestic leagues or even win the league, and a team from either of those countries or from Scotland, Germany, Holland, etc. (the "second tier" leagues in Europe) would be viewed with more respect worldwide. Celtic can win the SPL all they want and Bayern Munich can win the Bundesliga every single year, but if they don't do anything in the Champions League, it's hard to take those clubs seriously.

For teams in Italy, England, and Spain, I would say that their domestic leagues are very nearly as prestigious as the Champions League. It's basically almost always the same teams from each of those countries who qualify for the CL year after year and those teams almost always progress to the Round of 16, so for me, it's a crapshoot from there on in with the literal luck of the draw. The league, though, is a test of endurance and will and it's harder to win than the CL, in my opinion. In those "second tier" leagues, there are only two or three teams who have a realistic chance of winning the league and there are some truly atrocious teams that make up the middle and bottom of the table, but in La Liga, the Premiership, and Serie A, the talent is spread more evenly and the competition is better.

So what do you think, do your want your team to win their domestic league or the Champions League? Obviously if you support a team that isn't in the Champions League, it means they probably won't win their domestic league either but if you had to pick one, which would it be?

Mourinho Withdraws from England Consideration

Former Chelsea boss José Mourinho has, as I predicted before here on this site and over at epltalk.com, ruled himself out of the running to become England's next manager.

Mourinho has stated multiple times that he believes a national team's manager should be of that nationality and that the only country he'd ever truly consider coaching is his own, Portugal, and even then not until the end of his career.

At just 42 years of age and with the managerial résumé he has, taking the England job would have been a big step down for Mourinho. It's likely that he didn't want to commit himself for the next two and a half years without the prospect of returning to domestic soccer, his love, and I feel confident that the FA wouldn't include an "out clause" in any potential contract to allow him to resign his post to take a club job without considerable compensation.

Mourinho has won the Champions League and four consecutive league titles (two with Porto, two with Chelsea) in his managerial career and is one of the greatest enigmas in the world of soccer today. He has an enormous ego, which is something England as a whole does not need any more of, and although he would probably produce results with England and lead them to success, Mourinho cares much more about club soccer and the greater challenge that it brings.

If you're England, you can wish all you want that he'll change his mind and accept the post, but really, I don't think he's the best guy for the job and to me, it's a blessing in disguise that he's withdrawn his name from consideration. This is not to say he's not one of the best managers in the world; as I said, his track record speaks for itself, but why would you want someone who only has half his heart in it and doesn't have the passion and fire for that particular job?

In my opinion, Mourinho was just stirring things up and never had any serious intentions about taking this job. I think he's after either the AC Milan or Barcelona jobs as both of them could be available sooner rather than later, and in announcing his "interest" in England, he tried to force those clubs to make a move and get rid of their current managers.

The funny thing in all of this, though, is the fact that the English media had made it sound like if the job was offered to Mourinho, he would take; it was a shoo-in that he would be England's next manager because hey, mighty England called and who would turn down that job?? Newsflash for England: If you can't qualify from a group with Andorra, Macedonia, and Estonia, you simply don't deserve to go to Euro 2008 or any other tournament. The reality is that England simply isn't as good of a side as their media likes to make out. They are not truly the Three Lions; they are more like the Three Little Pigs.

Middlesbrough's Fans Are a Disgrace

I turned on the Middlesbrough-Arsenal game this morning and was disgusted by what I saw at Riverside Stadium. I'm not talking about the quality of play; that was fine, and Middlesbrough pulled a shocker in earning a 2-1 win over the previously unbeaten Gunners. I'm not talking about a sloppy field or bad weather; the pitch was in good shape and it was a nice day by English standards.

No, what I'm referring to is another disappointing turnout at the Riverside. Arsenal are on top of the Premiership and you would think a capacity crowd would've come to see them and make it more difficult for them to pick up a victory away from home. You would think that the fans would want to create a hostile atmosphere and environment so that their team, who are candidates for relegation, would have a better chance to earn much-needed points from the game. As usual, however, the English seem to defy customary logic and what I saw today was a three-quarters filled (maybe) stadium.

Middlesbrough's official average attendance this year is 26,393, good for 13th highest in the Premiership. Their stadium capacity is roughly 35,000, but if there are only 9,000 empty seats in that stadium on a given matchday, I'm Cristiano Ronaldo. I'm sorry, that attendance figure has to be completely inaccurate and it's such a shame when the fans don't come out to see these afternoon games, especially when the best team in the league comes to town. How Middlesbrough pulled out a victory today with the kind of crowd they had today is beyond me. It's a testament to the players more than anything and I give them full credit for getting up to play this game, but come on, it's pathetic that the stadium wasn't full and seeing all these empty seats on a weekly basis is just sad.

Beware the Cameron Crazies

The Michigan Wolverines dropped to 3-6 on the season after their 95-67 loss today to #6 Duke as the Blue Devils stayed undefeated, improving their record to 9-0.

Both teams came out of the gate as cold as ice from the field and that allowed Michigan to hang around for the first seven or eight minutes of the game. Duke started heating up, however, and Michigan simply couldn't keep pace and the game's outcome was never really in doubt after that.

Whenever you go on the road in college basketball, particularly to an arena as intimidating as Cameron Indoor Stadium, you have to be efficient with the basketball if you want to win the game. Michigan was not today; they turned the ball over 15 times compared to just 8 for the Blue Devils, and they only shot 38% from the field (and 32% from downtown) while Duke was close to 50%.

Chalk this game up as another tough learning experience for John Beilein's young team. The Wolverines have already went to Georgetown and played Butler on a neutral court and will play UCLA at the end of their nonconference schedule, and the lessons learned in these kind of games will prove to be beneficial come Big Ten season, if not next year, although I know the long-suffering fans of Michigan don't want to hear about seasons to come. Six of Michigan's first nine games have come away from the friendly confines of Crisler Arena, and there aren't many top-caliber, nationally ranked teams that can say they've gone on the road as often as the Wolverines this season.

There were a few bright spots for Michigan, namely the performances of DeShawn Sims, Ekpe Udoh, and Kelvin Grady. Manny Harris, Michigan's star freshman and best player so far this season, was largely invisible throughout this game, partly due to foul trouble, but largely because he was simply guarded well and when he got free, the shots weren't falling for him. John Beilein will also undoubtedly be pleased with the fight his squad showed even when they were behind by double figures; they didn't pack it in early but Duke was just too much this afternoon.

For the Blue Devils' fans, Coach K has a team that has Sweet 16 (at the very least) written all over it. They run the floor extremely well, spread opposing defenses out to allow penetration and kickouts, have much-improved depth in being able to bring Jon Scheyer, Brian Zoubek, Taylor King, and Nolan Smith off the bench, and boast the best home-court advantage in the country. Duke is the second best team in the relatively down ACC behind North Carolina but both teams have the potential to go deep in the NCAA Tournament once again.

Christmas Schedule

Ho ho ho! The Christmas season is upon us and as far as the Premiership goes, this is probably the most exciting time of the season for fans and the most defining time of the season for teams with the packed schedule that this time of the year brings.

The current situation at the top of the table is not one that is unexpected; although the order in which the teams in 1st-4th place may not be the same as many pundits, myself included, predicted it would be at the end of the year, the teams themselves were in most people's Top 4 at the start of the season. I picked Manchester United to win the Premiership this year (currently in 2nd), Chelsea to finish 2nd (3rd), Liverpool to finish 3rd (4th, but with a game in hand), and Arsenal to finish 5th (1st).

However as I said before, the busy holiday schedule will be an exciting one with each team playing four league games in two weeks (three of those in one week), not counting the Carling Cup quarterfinal round matches which are mixed in during this period as well. Only Premiership clubs are left standing in the Carling Cup and for eight of them, (West Ham, Everton, Manchester City, Tottenham, Blackburn, Arsenal, Chelsea, and Liverpool) these fixtures have varying degrees of priority compared to league matches.

It's the league games that matter most to most people, though, and so what I want to do here is list the schedules for each team in the Top 4, followed by my predictions for each of their games, and then come up with what I believe will be the way the top of the table looks heading into January. These two weeks could prove to be the most important two weeks of the season for a lot of teams, especially for the Top 4 but also for those in the relegation fight.

Current Table:

1. Arsenal (37 points, 15 games played)
2. Manchester United (33 pts., 15 GP)
3. Chelsea (31 pts., 15 GP)
4. Liverpool (30 pts., 14 GP)

Holiday Schedules and My Predictions:

Arsenal---Chelsea (2-1 win), Tottenham (3-2 win), @Portsmouth (1-2 loss), @Everton (1-1 draw)
Total Points: 7 out of 12

Manchester United---@Liverpool (1-1 draw), Everton (2-1 win), @Sunderland (3-1 win), @West Ham (2-0 win)
Total Points: 10 out of 12

Chelsea---@Arsenal (1-2 loss), @Blackburn (1-1 draw), Aston Villa (1-1 draw), Newcastle (2-0 win)
Total Points: 5 out of 12

Liverpool---Manchester United (1-1 draw), Portsmouth (2-1 win), @Derby County (3-0 win), @Manchester City (2-0 win)
Total Points: 10 out of 12

Teams also play on either January 1st or the 2nd to round off the holiday schedule. Liverpool will still have a game in hand on the rest of the "Big Four", who may not be the Top 4 after these couple of weeks depending on other results but I believe they will be, just in a different order than they are now.

According to my predictions then, here's what I believe the top of the table will look like heading into January 1/2:

1. Arsenal (47 points, 20 games played)
2. Manchester United (46 pts., 20 GP)
3. Liverpool (43 pts., 19 GP)
4. Chelsea (39 pts., 20 GP)

I didn't list it up above because it's not part of the holiday schedule, but these point totals and games played reflect what I believe will occur this weekend.

The knee injury to Didier Drogba has essentially ended the Blues' title hopes, and what a race it will be between Liverpool, United, and Arsenal for the Premiership trophy in the second half of the season, one that could very well come down to the last couple of weeks.

Is There Anyone More Clutch than Tim Cahill?

Timmy Cahill's 85th minute goal today against Zenit St. Petersburg propelled Everton into the Round of 32 in the 2007-2008 edition of Europe's second tier club competition, the UEFA Cup.

The Australian international's tally this afternoon got me thinking, and when I sat down and tossed a few names around in my head, I couldn't come up with any player more clutch than Cahill. There is no one I'd rather want on my team when I need a goal with 10 minutes or so left in a game, whether it be an equalizer or a winner.

A few recent cases in point:

June 12, 2006: Australia was down 1-0 to Japan in the opening group stage match for both teams in the 2006 World Cup, and Cahill came on in the 52nd minute as a substitute. In a group with Brazil and Croatia, this was a game Australia simply could not afford to lose if they had any hope of advancing to the Round of 16. Cahill's 84th minute tally from close range to equalize was dramatic enough, but he took it one notch further just five minutes later when he scored again to snatch full points for the Socceroos.

July 8, 2007: Australia was minutes, if not seconds away from what would have been an embarrassing loss to Oman in the opening group stage match for both teams in the 2007 AFC Asian Cup. Again, a loss there would have really dealt Australia a serious blow towards qualifying for the next round in a competition they were expected to win. Cahill, again on as a substitute (due to injury, he wasn't fit to play all 90 minutes but would have if he was healthy), scored in the 92nd minute to give Australia a point. That late equalizer was huge because both Australia and Thailand had 4 points from 3 games in the group stage, but Australia went through with a better goal differential. Without that point, Australia would have likely finished behind Thailand and Oman to finish 4th out of 4.

We've seen what he's done for his country, and he's done it for his club as well.

October 31, 2007: It was the 4th Round of the Carling Cup and Everton had a tricky matchup at Luton Town. After 90 minutes, the score was still 0-0 and extra time was needed to determine which team would move on in England's second tier domestic competition. Cahill had come on as a substitute again (in the 77th minute), and in the 101st minute, he came up with yet another big goal to put Everton ahead and the Toffees held Luton off for the last 19 minutes to advance to their first Carling Cup quarterfinal in 19 years.

November 11, 2007: Not only did Cahill score another late goal for Everton, this one might end up as the goal of the Premiership season this year. Everton were losing 1-0 at Stamford Bridge in a game that Chelsea were taking it to the Toffees. Chelsea outshot Everton 16-6 (10-2 in shots on goal) and had a 59%-41% advantage in time of possession. None of this mattered to Cahill, and his spectacular overhead kick in the 90th minute gave Everton an undeserved, but much applauded, share of the spoils. He didn't come on as a sub in this game, but who cares?

I did some research on ESPN Soccernet in preparation for this post, and although I've given four examples of Cahill's aptitude for late-game heroics, his résumé is even more impressive. Of the 38 goals Cahill has scored for club and country in competitive matches since the 2004-2005 season, a whopping 11 of them have been late-game (75th minute or later) equalizers or game-winners. Overall, 20 of those 38 goals fit into either of those two categories.

I can't think of anyone more clutch than Tim Cahill. If you can, feel free to leave a comment and explain your reasoning for whomever you choose.

"Made in Lisbon, Delivered in Manchester": C. Ronaldo

For the record, I couldn't care less that Kaka just won the 2007 Ballon D'Or and the FIFPro World Player of the Year and the UEFA European Club Player of the Year and will probably win the FIFA World Player of the Year when it is announced later this month. These are nice awards, don't get me wrong, but the best player in the world is Cristiano Ronaldo, hands down, no doubt about it. Ronaldo is the finest player in the world's finest league and any discussion about who should win awards like these should start and end with him.

Manchester United's 22-year old Portuguese winger played for Sporting Lisbon before joining the Red Devils in 2003 and has blossomed from that point on. The scary thing is that he hasn't even realized his unbelievable potential as a player yet, although you wouldn't necessarily know it if you watched him play for Portugal or Man U.

Two more goals today propelled the Red Devils to a 2-0 victory over Fulham at Old Trafford, giving Ronaldo 6 goals in 9 league games from midfield already this year, and he has 11 tallies in 15 games in all competitions. Last season was a breakout year for the Portuguese star as he rang up 23 goals and 20 assists in 49 matches (all competitions), and he bagged 12 more goals in 2005-2006.

Forget the stats for a minute though and think about the things you can't measure. Ronaldo has great pace and is very nearly as adept with his left foot as he is with his right, enabling him to play on either wing and benefit from the free role he's given with United. He's the best player on the ball in the world with his dribbling prowess; a simple YouTube search will provide highlight videos of him going past opponents with an array of moves, the double and even triple-scissors chief amongst them. He's as good of a passer as there is as well, both through balls and crossing, and is United's free-kick taker whenever it is within shooting range.

I'm not trying to take anything away from Kaka or Ronaldinho or Lionel Messi; each of those players is fantastic in their own right. The sky is the limit for Ronaldo though and he can do things with the ball that no one else can. His good looks have obviously made him a marketing godsend for United. We've seen it at times this season and last when Ronaldo has been either suspended or just coming back from international duty: When he isn't in the lineup, Manchester United are a completely different team and they don't have that flair and spark and energy that they do when he's playing.

Kaka, you can take all your awards and the awards you'll inevitably win in the future. The people who vote for them are incredibly biased towards Brazilians and tend to look mainly at what players do in the Champions League. For me, however, if I had to build a team from scratch, I'll take Ronaldo over anyone else in the world, including Kaka, every single time.

FA Cup Third Round Draw

The third round draw for England's most prestigious cup competition was released yesterday, and Premiership teams now finally get in on the act. These matchups are scheduled for the 5th and 6th of January. If a game ends in a draw, a replay will occur to determine who moves on to the 4th Round. The home team for that game would the visiting team in this match.

Note: Premiership teams are in bold, and the home team is listed first.

Preston North End vs. Scunthorpe
Port Vale/Chasetown vs. Cardiff City
Colchester vs. Peterborough
Bolton vs. Sheffield United
Blackburn vs. Coventry City
Brighton vs. Mansfield
Northampton/Walsall vs. Millwall
Charlton Athletic vs. West Bromwich Albion
Watford vs. Crystal Palace
Luton Town/Nottingham Forest vs. Liverpool
Plymouth Argyle vs. Hull City
Aston Villa vs. Manchester United
Tranmere Rovers vs. Hereford
Tottenham vs. Reading
Burnley vs. Arsenal
Bristol City vs. Middlesbrough
Fulham vs. Bristol Rovers
Huddersfield vs. Birmingham City
Horsham/Swansea City vs. Havant & Waterlooville
Sunderland vs. Wigan Athletic
Oxford United/Southend United vs. Dagenham & Redbridge
Everton vs. Oldham Athletic
Derby County vs. Sheffield Wednesday
Southampton vs. Leicester City
West Ham vs. Manchester City
Ipswich vs. Portsmouth
Wolverhampton vs. Cambridge
Barnsley vs. Blackpool
Chelsea vs. QPR
Stoke City vs. Newcastle
Swindon Town vs. Burton Albion/Barnet
Norwich vs. Bury


Chelsea, the current holders of the FA Cup, should progress to the 4th Round without much trouble. The most interesting tie of this round, by far, is Aston Villa vs. Manchester United. Both teams are capable of winning this whole competition but obviously only one will progress to the next stage.

Big Win for Harvard

It's over in Cambridge as the Harvard Crimson pulled out a big win for Tommy Amaker against his former team, the Michigan Wolverines, 62-51.

Hats off to the Crimson fans that packed the Lavietes Pavilion this afternoon. The small gym holds only 2,050 people and every seat was filled, although to be fair, Michigan had a sizeable contigent that traveled as well.

Harvard's three-guard lineup really controlled the tempo of the game and as I said in my last post, the team was that able to do that most effectively was going to win and the Crimson did. I also identified another key to the game, valuing possessions, and Harvard only turned the ball over 9 times compared to Michigan's 11 giveaways.

What was really interesting about this game was the fact that four Harvard players played for over 30 minutes, and they were obviously boosted by the energy of the home crowd. Tommy Amaker only used eight players while the Wolverines used ten. Usually the team that has a deeper rotation is the one that wins the game, but the relatively slow tempo of the game allowed Harvard to play their key core of guys without fear of tiring them out.

Harvard is definitely a team to watch in the Ivy League this season. The preseason pick to win the league and the automatic NCAA Tournament berth that comes with it (the Ivy League doesn't have a tournament after the regular season) was Cornell, but with Coach Amaker at the helm you have to believe Harvard will be right up there. As for Michigan, it could be a long year and realistically, another trip to the NIT is all that can be hoped for.

José for England Song

Same guy, different tune. Enjoy.

Hello Again, Tommy Amaker

After Michigan's disappointing 77-64 home loss to Boston College in the Big Ten/ACC Challenge (won for the 9th year in a row by the ACC), the Wolverines' record now stands at 3-4 heading into a game against another Boston-area school tomorrow (5:30 PM, ESPNU).

John Beilein's team has played like the group of youngsters that they are this season. They were losing to #16 Butler by just three points with 14 minutes to go in both teams' first game in the Great Alaska Shootout before the Bulldogs went on an 18-2 run and went on to win 79-65. Michigan was competitive in that game but one run, one slip of focus was enough to put them in a hole they couldn't climb out of. On Wednesday, BC and Michigan went back and forth all game, trading leads seemingly every possession and with 13:48 left in the game, the score was 46-46. Boston College then went on a 12-0 run and before Michigan knew it, it was 66-52 and the Wolverines couldn't recover. Young teams go through these types of games and they're necessary for growth and maturity. I was really excited to see Michigan battle until the final buzzer despite the fact they were losing by double digits; they didn't quit and the fight was there until the end and those are good signs for the future.

That said, the present brings a trip to suburban Boston to face former coach Tommy Amaker and the Harvard Crimson (3-4). Amaker was let go by Michigan after last season, spending six seasons as the head coach in Ann Arbor. During his tenure, Michigan won the NIT once and were the runner-up another year, but the knock against Amaker is that he never took Michigan back to the NCAA tournament despite having some pretty talented players (Daniel Horton, Dion Harris, Lester Abram, etc.). He compiled a 108-84 record while at Michigan but his teams went just a combined 43-53 in the Big Ten. Personally, I liked Tommy and appreciate what he did to clean up the Michigan program and bring it back to national respectibility, but he was never going to reestablish the national prominence it enjoyed during the late 80's and early 90's and it was just time for him and for Michigan to move on. Michigan's current roster is made up of kids who either played for or were recruited by Tommy Amaker and to be fair, he didn't leave the cupboard bare for John Beilein.

Let's be realistic here. I can't see Harvard beating Michigan tomorrow afternoon. The Crimson are 2-0 at home but those wins came against New Hampshire and Mercer, who hasn't been any good since their upset victory over USC earlier in the season. Michigan is simply too athletic for Harvard, who have three players averaging double figures in PPG. I can't say that I've seen Harvard play at all this season, but what I do know from the traditional Ivy League style of play and from Tommy Amaker's favored style, the Crimson will probably try and slow the pace of the game down and value their possessions. Michigan plays the same way in terms of really focusing on limiting their turnovers, but they play a faster game and will want to shoot, shoot, and shoot some more. Amaker's teams are usually good at rebounding the basketball and Michigan's perimeter offense cuts down on their number of offensive boards, so limiting Harvard to one shot and out on the offensive end will be important as well.

My prediction: Michigan wins, though it'll be closer than one may think. 72-60, Wolverines.

Hilarious Steve McLaren Tribute Song

Hands Off!!

So there I was yesterday afternoon, watching Liverpool's Champions League clash with FC Porto (Liverpool won 4-1), not exactly rooting for the Merseyside Reds. The first 78 minutes of the game were pretty even, but then Fernando Torres coolly slotted a right-footed finish in the back of the net to break open what was then a 1-1 affair. Liverpool won a free kick just five minutes later, and captain Steven Gerrard served the ball into the box.

Then it happened.

Porto's Milan Stefanov was lucky not to be sent off after reaching up and handling Gerrard's ball in, and match referee Roberto Rosetti had no choice but to point to the spot.

Steven Gerrard converted to put Liverpool up 3-1, but before he took his penalty, I had expected to see something and was disapoointed when I did not. Maybe it's because John Terry and Chelsea weren't playing, maybe it's because an English referee wasn't in charge. No one from Porto put their hands on the Mr. Rosetti!!

It's absolutely ridiculous when I see this happen almost on a weekly basis and to be honest, usually with Chelsea. Whenever a referee awards a controversial red card or a PK against one team, players on that team protest vigorously (which in itself is fine) and often physically confront that referee, either putting their hands on him or bumping him or as John Terry is famous for doing, literally trying to hold him back from showing the card.

Physical contact with a referee should be grounds for an immediate red card, and the sad thing is that at the lower levels this goes on too and the referees put up with it. I've seen countless yellow cards awarded for dissent when a player is 20 yards away from the referee and mouthing off, but I've never seen one red card or even one yellow card from making contact with the ref. That doesn't make any sense; so words (dissent) can earn a card but actually physically intimidating and touching doesn't get a player in trouble?

In baseball, ANY contact with an empire in that context is an immediate ejection, no questions asked, end of story, and that player and/or manager will be suspended for several additional games. A game misconduct or a match penalty (both of which result in ejection but the length of the suspensions handed down after the fact vary depending on which of those two infractions you're penalized under) is given in hockey for abuse of officials, both verbal and physical. Same thing goes in football (unsportsmanlike conduct penalty and/or ejection), basketball (technical foul/flagrant foul), and seemingly every other sport besides soccer. Excessive and obscene arguments seem to be tolerated in soccer, as does physical contact. This simply shouldn't be the case.

To be fair, referees are partly to blame as well. They have the authority to send someone off under FIFA's Laws of the Game for contact made and often choose not to, which just encourages players to do it again the next time they don't like a decision made against their team. If players see that a referee is a pushover, they know that they can do almost anything they want without fear of reprecussion. I can't count how many times I've seen Chelsea players standing over the referee and flapping their hands and arms around, showing him up, holding him and whatever else, and get away with it scot-free. If these players were to be sent off or at the very least, cautioned for their actions, it would help deter those players from doing whatever they were doing again. It's at the point now where I start laughing when I see these small, skinny referees get bossed around by players when the opposite should be the case.

Grow some balls, fellas. The crowd may not like it, they may even boo (Oh no!), but you have to start taking a stand against these players.

Jewell Joins Derby, McLeish Matriculates at Birmingham

Well, this news would matter more to me if these teams were any good.

Derby will be going down regardless; they are simply the worst Premiership team I've seen in years and Paul Jewell won't be able to save them this season.

I picked Birmingham to join Derby in the Championship next year as well, and that was with Steve Bruce at the helm, who I believe is a good manager and possibly could've kept the team up. Alex McLeish turned the fortunes of the Scottish national team around and even though they just missed out on qualifying for Euro 2008, whoever is hired as the next manager will inherit a pretty stable, solid situation and team that has a good chance to qualify for World Cup 2010. As far as McLeish goes, however, I don't think Birmingham made the right choice in hiring a guy who hasn't managed in England before, much less the Premiership, in the middle of the season. It's one to manage in Scotland and at Rangers, where success is easier to attain than it is in the Premiership, and it's another to manage a team that doesn't have the same talent level as even other squads in the bottom half of the table. If McLeish keeps Birmingham up, it'll be by the skin of their teeth and nothing more.

Big Ten/ACC Challenge

The ninth annual Big Ten/ACC Challenge tipped off with one game Monday night (Wake Forest's 56-47 win at Iowa), continued with a five-game slate last night, and will end tonight with five more games. The ACC has won the Commissioner's Cup, which is awarded to the conference whose teams win more games in the Challenge, all eight years prior to this season's edition and they look well on their way to claiming the trophy this time around as well.

Through the six games played to this point, the ACC is 5-1; the only Big Ten team to win so far was Indiana, as the Eric Gordons beat Georgia Tech last night in Bloomington 83-79. You'd have to like the ACC's chances to win the Challenge again as they only need to win one out of tonight's five matchups and I wouldn't be surprised if they win a couple (North Carolina over Ohio State, Virginia Tech over Penn State).

Michigan's game against Boston College tonight (7:15 PM, ESPNU) will be another test for the young Wolverines. After going 1-2 in the Great Alaska Shootout to even up their overall record at 3-3, John Beilein's squad faces a BC team that is 4-0 and led by star guard and Richmond, VA product Tyrese Rice, who comes into the game averaging a nifty 21.3 points per game along with 7.7 assists. BC, like Michigan, is a guard-oriented team and relies on their quickness and shooting to win games and if the Wolverines can't slow them down, Boston College will remain undefeated. In Alaska, a much-smaller Butler team shot their way to victory and that's what BC will look to do tonight, so it's up to Michigan's 1-3-1 defense to pressure the shooters and force contested jumpers if they hope to send the Maize Rage home happy.

Goodbye, Billy Davies

As I predicted back on November 5th after Chris Hutchings was sacked by Wigan ("Billy Davies Next to Go?"), Derby County has ended Davies' tenure at the East Midlands club by "mutual consent", aka "take this buyout gratefully and we won't say we fired you."

Derby have just one win in the Premiership this season and have been held scoreless in six consecutive matches and seven out of their last eight. Their problem, as one pundit on FSC put it the other day, is that they're playing the same style of soccer as they played in the Championship, and that simply doesn't work. It's one thing to play the likes of Barnsley and Burnley and Stoke City (no disrespect to those clubs) and it's another to play Chelsea and Manchester United and Liverpool; any Premier League team for that matter. Derby's defense has been atrocious and they currently have a -28 goal differential. Most importantly for a team that was basically condemned back to the Championship before this season even started, they weren't showing any progress under Billy Davies and the change needed to be made.

This now makes five managers who started the year with a club to have left by "mutual consent" or been sacked (Chris Hutchings, Jose Mourinho, Sammy Lee, and Martin Jol), not counting Steve Bruce, who left Birmingham for Wigan. You would have to say that Gareth Southgate at Middlesbrough and Sam Allardyce at Newcastle are now the odds-on leaders in the sack race.

Upon Further Review...

So, as I promised earlier, I've done some research on the other countries in England's World Cup qualifying group and even though qualifying is months away, I wanted to come out with a guide/primer/preview of sorts of England's competition in Group 6 while the topic was still fresh in people's minds:

1. Belarus---Currently coached by former East Germany boss Bernd Stange, the Belorussians are captained and led by their most recognizable player, Arsenal midfielder Aliaksandr Hleb. Belarus has only had a national team since 1992 (before that, their players and those in the other Soviet republics played for the USSR). They haven't participated in any World Cups as of yet; they finished 6th in their qualifying group in 1998 and 5th in 2006; in 2002 they finished 3rd and missed heading to South Korea/Japan by just two points. Belarus have also not qualified for any European Championships in their brief history either. In their most recent squad announced for these last two games of Euro 2008 qualifying, only two players currently play for domestic teams outside of Russia, Belarus, and Ukraine (Hleb-Arsenal, Vitali Kutuzov-Pisa Calcio in Serie B).

2. Croatia---England fans know all about the Croatian national team and have probably seen more of them than they ever wanted to over these past few days after Croatia ended England's hopes of qualifying for Euro 2008. Once again, this team is relatively new on the international landscape as Croatia only gained independence from Yugoslavia in 1991 and their national team wasn't officially recognnized by FIFA and UEFA until 1992. They are coached by a former West Ham and Everton player, Slaven Bilić, who is just 39 years of age and was part of Croatia's third place team in World Cup 1998. He's fluent in German, Italian, and English and is a hot prospect to manage a high-level club in Europe sooner rather than later. Croatia has a roster full of extremely underrated but talented players, most notably (at least to Premiership fans) Niko Kranjčar, Eduardo da Silva, and Australian-born Josip Šimunić. They haven't lost a competitive match on home soil since 1994 and have participated in every World Cup that they've qualified for since becoming independent.

3. Andorra---Andorra are also new on the world stage as their national team hasn't been in existence for even 10 years. There really isn't much to say about this team; they've never qualified for a World Cup or European Championship, their highest ever FIFA world ranking is #125 in September 2005, and their current home stadium seats only 1,800 people. Andorra has only won three games in their brief history; their top goalscorer, Ildefons Lima, has four career tallies at the international level, and the team received more total yellow and red cards than any other team in Europe in World Cup 2006 qualification.

4. Ukraine---Aside from Croatia, Ukraine will be England's most serious threat to either win Group 6 or qualify for the second place-playoff. Ukraine, just like all the former Soviet republics, has only been in existence as an independent country with a national team since 1992. They've qualified for only one World Cup, the most recent one in 2006 (they were knocked out in the Quarterfinals by Italy, the eventual champions). Ukraine's first appearance in the European Championship will be in 2012 as they will cohost the event with Poland and thus automatically qualify; they didn't qualify in 1996, 2000, 2004, or for the next one in 2008. Chelsea striker Andriy Shevchenko has the most career international goals for Ukraine (36 in 79 matches), and although they may benefit from the services of 33-year old midfielder and former Tottenham and West Ham player Serhiy Rebrov for some of the qualifying games, he almost certainly won't be around for the whole campaign.

5. Kazakhstan--Ah yes, another former member of the USSR. Kazakhstan actually competed in the AFC (Asian Federation) until 2002 when they joined UEFA, although they didn't win their first competitive match as part of UEFA until 2007, when they beat Serbia at home. Kazakhstan have never qualified for a World Cup, European Championship, or Asian Nations Cup and their most recent squad has only two players who play their club soccer outside of their home country (both play in Russia). Interestingly enough, they are coached by a Dutchman, Arno Pijpers, and he has experience in Kazakhstan having won the Kazakhstan Super League title in 2006 with FC Astana. Pijpers' career record with Kazakhstan is respectable (5-7-7), and those 5 wins put him in a tie for second place in most wins with the former Soviet republic.

England's World Cup Qualifying Group

More analysis forthcoming later, but here it is, European Zone Group 6:

England
Croatia
Belarus
Kazakhstan
Ukraine
Andorra

Early prediction: Croatia will win the group and England will have to fight their way into the World Cup through the second-place playoffs.

Nicolas Anelka = Terrell Owens/Randy Moss?

Before I get to my idea I just want to put something out there, not just for this post but for every other post I make in the future. There is a reason I don't call "soccer" "football" on this site. As an American, I already have "football" and that's college football and the NFL, where they kick, punt, run, and throw the ball. What everyone else across the world calls "football" will always be called "soccer" here, so that's just for further reference. This particular post deals with athletes in both soccer and football, so that's why I wanted to make note of the distinction.

There is also a reason that Nicolas "The Incredible Sulk" Anelka has played for seven professional clubs even though he's still relatively young, just 28 years old. It's no coincidence that a striker who has scored (depending on what statistical site you look at) 110 goals in 327 league appearances since the 1995 season and represented his country 43 times since 1998 has bounced around from country to country (France, England, Spain, back to France, back to England, Turkey, and back to England). According to the commentators in today's Bolton-Manchester United match in which Anelka had the game-winning goal, Anelka is the second most expensive player in the world in terms of combined transfer fees paid with a total value of nearly $140 million US.

For someone who has played for some of the most historical, successful clubs in the world, Anelka sure knows how to rub his employers and teammates the wrong way. The longest he's ever stayed at one team is three seasons (Manchester City). You can't argue with his goal-scoring record; he's a prolific striker, but his problem is that wherever he goes, he's a cancer in the locker room/dressing room/changing room, whatever you want to call it.

In the NFL, a league known for its primadonna wide receivers and defensive backs, two players immediately stand out to be the same type of guy as Anelka. Mr. "I play when I want to play" Randy Moss, and Mr. "Get your popcorn ready, it's gonna be a show" Terrell Owens. Both of these guys are incredible, almost superhuman athletes; both have the talent to end up in the Hall of Fame as two of the best receivers to ever play the game of football, period. Both have already set numerous NFL records and with the way they're playing now, more will continue to fall when they're still playing.

Nicolas Anelka, Randy Moss, and Terrell Owens. When you keep them happy and they're interested, these guys all produce and are or very near the best at their positions in their respective sports. When they're disgruntled or their team is losing or they're not getting the ball enough, they start whining and become guys you simply don't want to have on your team, regardless of how naturally gifted they are.

In Anelka's case, you can't argue with a goal every three games, which is his average over his career. What you can find fault in is his inability to grow up and mature and be part of a team because his behavior has a direct correlation with how the players on the field with him perform, and it's the same for Moss and Owens. Right now, Moss and Owens are in a good situation where their teams are winning and they're getting the ball, so they can't complain. Anelka, however, is scoring but his team isn't winning; Bolton, despite their huge win today, may be relegated at the end of the season. The biggest question, then, is this: Will he, like Randy Moss, who basically campaigned his way out of Oakland last year where the team was awful and he was simply disinterested, and like T.O., who left Philadelphia two seasons ago on bad terms and joined their rival in Dallas so he could burn them when the two teams played, try and leave Bolton for a better team in January? For Bolton's sake, hopefully not.

Thank God That's Over; Podcast News

Finally! The international break is over and at long last, I'm done with my season summaries for each of the 20 Premiership teams. I hope they were informative.

As I hinted before when talking about my colleague's new podcast, I have more info to pass on. Final details have still not been set in stone but we're aiming for a December 27th debut. The podcast will be released twice a week with my brother and I making our appearance on one of the shows, and each podcast will be about 45 minutes in length, give or take a few minutes depending on the news or the Premiership/European schedule.

Again, I'll have more details here when we figure everything out but until then, regular updates will be posted here concerning the new 3rd Half Podcast.

Enjoy the slate of games this weekend.

Season Summaries--1. Arsenal

1. Arsenal (My preseason prediction: 5th)

Arsenal has been very impressive this season, led by 20-year-old Spanish midfielder Cesc Fabregas and his 11 goals in all competitions, 6 in the Premiership. However, let's temper our enthusiasm for this team and not just hand them the title yet. The Gunners have played such a relatively weak schedule up to this point in the season and yes, it will obviously balance out but when you examine this team and the results they've gotten, one really wouldn't expect anything else against the teams they've played.

Don't get me wrong, Arsenal is a very good team. I just am curious to see how they play in the winter months when they can't play their trademark "beautiful football", when their young legs are tested with a large amount of games in a short period of time (8 games in December) and when they actually have to travel out of London to play against decent opposition. You can beat the likes of Wigan, Reading, Bolton, Fulham (they almost lost to the Cottagers), Derby, Newcastle, Sunderland, and West Ham all you want, but the title isn't going to be decided in games against those teams. To win the Premiership, you have to beat the good teams, the teams like Manchester United (2-2 draw at home), Liverpool (1-1 draw away) and Chelsea (haven't played yet).

Arsenal will advance to the Round of 16 in the Champions League, but depending on the result in their game at second-place Sevilla on the 27th, it may not be as their grouop's winner. That would open up the possibility of Arsenal playing Man U or Inter Milan or Barcelona (second place teams play group winners in the Round of 16) and would put the Gunners in a dangerous spot. They've also advanced to the quarterfinals of the Carling Cup, where they'll make a trip to Blackburn in mid-December. Those two teams met in Ewood Park earlier this season; that match ended 1-1.

Season Summaries--2. Manchester United

2. Manchester United (My preseason prediction: 1st)

The first two months of the season couldn't have been anything less than a nightmare for Manchester United fans. After winning the Community Shield against Chelsea, last year's FA Cup winner, to start the year on a high note, injuries (Wayne Rooney, Owen Hargreaves, Michael Carrick) and suspensions (Cristiano Ronaldo) had a significant impact on the defending champions and they couldn't get any continuity going. United's first seven games of the season all ended either 1-0 or 1-1, and not being able to score goals has never been a trademark of Sir Alex Ferguson's managerial style; his teams usually play with an up-and-down, attacking flair. The Red Devils started the year off with two draws and a loss in their first three league games and people (as they usually do) started reading too much into early season results and wrote this team off.

United have gotten healthier and more in sync as the season has gone on and their results bear this out. They are 4-0-0 in their Champions League group so far and since that early loss at Manchester City, United have gone 9-1-0 in the Premiership. There was a four-game stretch in which they scored 4 goals each game and in fact, they've scored 4 goals in 5 out of their last 7 matches in all competitions, including a dominating 4-1 win at Aston Villa. The high-flying theatrics should continue as well as their next three Premiership matches are against Bolton, Fulham, and Derby.

I've said it before and I'll say it again: Wayne Rooney and Carlos Tevez are by far the best striking tandem in the Premiership, and I personally believe they're the best in Europe as well. The way these two play off each other and can find one another inside the opponent's penalty area is amazing; most importantly, their finishing ability is second to none. Cristiano Ronaldo is having another Player of the Year-type season with 6 goals from midfield in his 9 Premiership starts, and that doesn't even take into account the pinpoint crosses and through balls he's become known for in the past few seasons.

Unlike Arsenal, Manchester United have had a fairly difficult schedule and actually have played some teams that aren't in the bottom half of the table. They picked up a point at Portsmouth (an accomplishment considering Cristiano Ronaldo got sent off in the second half and Rooney wasn't even healthy enough to play), thrashed Villa 4-1, beat Chelsea 2-0, beat Blackburn 2-0, beat Everton 1-0, and drew with Arsenal 2-2 in a game where they were the better team for the full 90 minutes. When United are in form, which they are now, they can beat anyone on the continent and not only will they win the Premiership this season, they have as good a chance as any team to win the Champions League. Their only disappointment of the season came when they lost to Coventry City at home 2-0 in the Carling Cup, but fewer games to play is a blessing for United as they already have a packed schedule and a roster that isn't the most immune to injury. If they stay healthy, this team can pull off the Treble again.

World Cup Qualifying Draw

As many of you know, the qualifying draw for the 2010 World Cup will be made on Sunday in Durban, South Africa, the host nation for the world's biggest tournament. Because this is an English, American, and to a lesser extent, European soccer blog, I'll only be posting the UEFA and CONCACAF qualifying groups and commenting on those; if you want to see where your favorite Asian or African national team was drawn, there are plenty of other websites out there on which you can look.

Here are some notes surrounding the draw, taken straight from the BBC:

"The event will see Asia's groups drawn first, followed by those in the CONCACAF region, made up of countries in central and north America and the Caribbean.

About an hour into the draw, Europe will be put in the spotlight when its 53 teams are divided into nine qualifying groups - eight of six teams and one of five.

The winners of each European group will qualify for the World Cup finals and the best eight runners-up play off for four more qualifying berths.

The evening rounds off with the draw for the African Zone, where 48 teams will be placed into 12 groups of four teams.

There is no draw for South America and the Oceania region, who have already started their preliminary competition.

Europe has the biggest representation at the World Cup finals with 13 places.

Africa will have three rounds of qualification, the first of which is already completed.

Asia has five stages of qualification, two of which have been completed.

All of CONCACAF's 35 members have entered four stages of qualifying, the first two of which will be played on a knockout basis.

The 10 South American countries (CONMEBOL) began their super group in October.

Oceania is already deep into its qualifying campaign with a group competition involving Fiji, New Caledonia, New Zealand and Vanuatu."

England won't be amongst Europe's top seeds after they slipped to #12 in the latest FIFA world rankings, meaning they will be drawn in the same group as one of the following nations: Italy, the defending champions, France, Germany, Spain, Portugal, Holland, Greece, and the Czech Republic. Obviously from an English perspective, they'll hope to get drawn into a group with Greece.

Season Summaries--3. Manchester City

3. Manchester City (My preseason prediction: 15th)

Before I get to my summary, I have to try and cover my backside here. When I made my preseason prediction for City, it was before they had even signed Elano or Geovanni or Vedran Corluka, so when you all want to say "I told you so, I said City would be a top-10 team", at least take that into account.

I've said in previous posts that goal differential usually is a stat that doesn't mean much; I think it's a misleading and often meaningless figure. Bolton's top-8 success over the last few years wasn't exactly a masterpiece and their goal differential was usually lower than that of the teams directly above and even below them in the table but they still got the job done. However, when you're talking about the top teams in any given league, their goal differential is usually going to be relatively high simply because they win more games than they lose, and more often than not their margin of victory is at least a couple of goals.

Manchester City's goal differential is +3 right now, which isn't even comparable to those of Manchester United and Arsenal (+17), Chelsea and Portsmouth (+10), or Liverpool (+13), or the top teams City are either above or below in the table. That +3, in fact, is the least goal differential out of anyone in the top 10. That statistic alone tells me that Manchester City won't keep up the current form that's propelled them to 3rd place a third of the way through the season; I believe they are closer to a UEFA Cup spot finisher than a Champions League place finisher and I still think Portsmouth, Blackburn, Aston Villa, and maybe even Everton will finish ahead of the Citizens when all is said and done.

City's perfect home record (7-0-0) is offset by their poor road record (1-2-3; their only win came at West Ham). I know that they're not conceding many goals (13), but they're also not scoring at a high enough rate to compete with the high-flying teams in the Premiership, like Portsmouth, United, Aston Villa, and Arsenal. You simply can't win every game 1-0 like City has done throughout the year; eventually the magic runs out and 1-0 victories become 0-0 or 1-1 draws or even 1-0 losses. Let's also face the fact that aside from a victory over a much-weakened (due to injuries and suspensions) Manchester United side in mid-August and a solid home victory over Aston Villa, City hasn't really even beaten anyone good (West Ham, Derby, Newcastle, Middlesbrough, Birmingham, Bolton, and Sunderland). They've played 3 games against teams I would consider to be equal competition (Blackburn, Villa, and Pompey; they haven't played Everton yet) and taken just four of a possible nine points. We won't even go into their 6-0 hammering at the hands of Chelsea or a 1-0 loss to Arsenal that easily could've been 3-0 or 4-0. Look, I'm not sold on City and they need to start playing better away from home and against teams comparable to them. They also have to figure out a way to score more goals because Elano can't score on a free kick every time, the strikers need to chip in as well. Two goals from Emile Mpenza and just one from big summer signing Rolando Bianchi isn't going to cut it.

Season Summaries--4. Chelsea

4. Chelsea (My preseason prediction: 2nd)

After José Mourinho's abrupt departure from Stamford Bridge on September 20, many people were skeptical about Avram Grant and how he would manage a team comprised largely of players brought in by Mourinho and who loved playing for him. Chelsea has played 12 games in all competitions since Mourinho left and have only beaten once; a 2-0 loss at Manchester United just three days after Grant took over a team that was still reeling from Mourinho's exit by "mutual consent". In those 12 games Chelsea emerged victorious eight times, including the 6-0 thrashing of Manchester City. They've advanced to the quarterfinals of the Carling Cup where they'll host fellow title contender Liverpool, they've pretty much sealed their place in the knockout Round of 16 in the Champions League, and have kept their home unbeaten streak alive and kicking at 69 matches.

Basically, my point is that Chelsea have done just fine under Avram Grant, they don't seem to have missed a beat; in fact, you could argue they're playing better soccer than they were when Mourinho was at the helm. Yes, a 0-0 draw at home against Fulham and a 1-0 win at Bolton may be cause for concern, but those games were early in Grant's tenure at Chelsea and I'm sure he was still getting used to his side and tactical decisions and everything that comes with being a manager instead of a coach. With games against Derby, West Ham, and Sunderland coming up in the Premiership, Grant will have a chance to rest a few players for Chelsea's two remaining group matches in the Champions League and for the clash against Liverpool in the Carling Cup.

Didier Drogba is carrying the scoring load once again (as expected) for Chelsea with 5 goals in 9 starts, and Frank Lampard has banged 4 in as well. Chelsea will never be mistaken for a club who's going to score a lot of goals; their 6-0 win over Manchester City was more of an anomaly and the Blues are more like the side who won at Wigan and Middlesbrough 2-0. I can nitpick and say their road record is a bit of a concern as they've already lost twice away from Stamford Bridge, but then again those defeats were at Manchester United and Aston Villa and there's nothing shameful about that. Chelsea also really need to do better at home; yes, they are obviously unbeaten but it's with three wins and three draws. Manchester United and Arsenal have both won 6 games out of 7 at their respective stadiums and Manchester City has won all seven of their home fixtures (though City won't be ahead of Chelsea for much longer, or of Liverpool for that matter).

Season Summaries--5. Liverpool

5. Liverpool (My preseason prediction: 3rd)

One of only two still-unbeaten teams left in the Premiership, Liverpool have had quite the roller coaster of a season. There was a stretch in September in which Liverpool scored only one goal in three Premiership matches, taking just five out of nine points from Portsmouth, Birmingham, and Wigan. From the middle of September into the middle of October, Liverpool played three Champions League matches and didn't win any of them, most surprising of which was a 1-0 loss at home against Marseille. Injuries also limited the choices Rafa Benitez had to pick from for a gameday squad and some important players went down: Daniel Agger has been out since mid-September with a broken metatarsal and has missed 13 matches; he looks set to return to the lineup this weekend, Fernando Torres has had to fight a strained adductor, Yossi Benayoun is out with an adductor tear, and Xabi Alonso has missed time with a broken metatarsal as well. These four players all are critical figures in the lineup and their absence has been a major factor in Liverpool's season so far.

However, a controversial 2-1 derby victory at Everton seems to have turned Liverpool's season around, as after another surprising Champions League loss at Turkish club Beskitas four days after, the Reds haven't lost in any competition. They thrashed Besiktas 8-0 at Anfield to thrust themselves right back into the mix to qualify for the knockout rounds of the Champions League, drew with Arsenal in a game they were 10 minutes away from winning, picked up a point at Blackburn (again, they could've won that game with a bit more luck), beat Cardiff in the Carling Cup to advance to the quarterfinals of that competition and spoiling Robbie Fowler's return to Anfield in the process, and dominated Fulham for 90 minutes in getting a 2-0 win. Liverpool haven't conceded a goal in the month of November and with Daniel Agger's supposed return this weekend against Newcastle, I can't see that stat changing.

As Liverpool are getting healthier and healthier, their schedule is getting easier and easier. Newcastle, Bolton, Reading, and Derby make up four of Liverpool's next six Premiership games with the other two coming against Manchester United and Portsmouth (both at Anfield). Liverpool play FC Porto and Marseille to complete their group stage schedule in the Champions League and should win both of those games to advance, especially as the more difficult game of the two (Porto) is at Anfield.

Torres leads the team in Premiership goals scored with 5 in 7 starts (10 appearances), and Andriy Voronin and captain Steven Gerrard have chipped in with three goals apiece. Liverpool have a game in hand on three of the four teams ahead of them; Arsenal has also played 12 games but Manchester United, Manchester City, and Chelsea have all played 13, and most impressively, have the most points away from home out of any team in the Premiership. You have to figure that their home record (2-4-0) will only get better and if Liverpool can keep up their road form, this is a team that will leap back up into the top two or three by the end of the season.

Steve McLaren Out as England Manager; Happy Thanksgiving

As I'm sure you all know, Steve McLaren was sacked today (effective immediately) and will no longer roam the sideline as the England national team manager. Enough said.

I'll have the last five season summaries out tomorrow as the Premiership (and other leagues across Europe) get going again on Saturday. Not an exceptionally electrifying slate of games this weekend, but what can you do??

Happy Thanksgiving to everyone out there; I hope you were able to spend it with those you love and care about.